Downsizing: A Risky Move That Could Lead to Bankruptcy


Many companies turn to downsizing as a way to cut costs and improve efficiency. However, a new study suggests this strategy comes with significant risks - including a higher likelihood of bankruptcy. 

Key findings:

  1. Downsizing firms are twice as likely to declare bankruptcy compared to non-downsizing firms.
  2. The negative effects of downsizing can persist for up to 5 years after the event.
  3. Intangible resources (like brand value and intellectual property) can help mitigate the risk of bankruptcy for downsizing firms. 
  4. Surprisingly, having more financial or physical resources does not significantly reduce bankruptcy risk for downsizing firms.

Why downsizing increases bankruptcy risk:

  1. Disrupts organizational routines and processes
  2. Reduces productivity and increases stress among remaining employees  
  3. Impedes knowledge transfer and organizational learning
  4. Can damage the company's reputation and relationships

Implications for managers:

  1. Carefully weigh the risks vs. potential benefits before downsizing. The long-term consequences may outweigh short-term cost savings.
  2. If downsizing is necessary, focus on leveraging and building intangible resources to help the company recover and avoid bankruptcy.
  3. Don't assume that having substantial financial reserves or physical assets will protect the company from negative outcomes.
  4. Consider alternatives to layoffs that may be less disruptive, such as reduced hours or voluntary retirement programs.
  5. If downsizing occurs, invest in supporting remaining employees and rebuilding organizational capabilities.

The bottom line: While downsizing may seem like a quick fix for financial troubles, it can set companies on a dangerous path. Managers should approach workforce reductions with extreme caution and have a solid plan to mitigate the associated risks.

Reference: Zorn, M.L., Norman, P.M., Butler, F.C. and Bhussar, M.S., 2017. Cure or curse: Does downsizing increase the likelihood of bankruptcy?. Journal of Business Research, 76, pp.24-33. Download Paper

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